Day 15, Race 7 @ the Lovely Hawthorne Race Park Downs

[Glen]

No weiners...

[George]

Glen just wants to get another nice HAW exacta under his belt. Like eating cashews, all you ever need is "just one more".

Would include #1 and #7 in my exacta.
The workout pattern on #2 jumps at me. Think they are serious after long layoff. Wish Hurrikane would post so I would know if this trainer is a "teacher" or not. Rice and Beans (#4) jockey Zoe Cadman is an upcoming young rider who produces nice roi on this runstyle

Have an uncanny knack for putting the winner as alternate.

pick #2
alt #4.

[MtKen]

Hate to keep following George & stealing his pix but I'm doing it again.

2 off the layoff & drop....5 alt.

[Glen]

#4
Alt #10

[MikeDee]

sorry George me to

pick 2
alt 6

[Glen]

Horse# Hits Win% ROI

1 110 12.73% -15.45
3 76 5.26% -44.08
8 19 5.26% -55.26
2 181 7.18% -54.7
7 225 10.67% -21.11
4 122 13.93% -16.8
9 108 14.81% -37.04
6 19 0 -100
10 147 12.24% -18.37
11 31 6.45% -58.06

[hurrikane]

George...not sure about the teacher. Trn in this area nTRN <300 and >=200 are poor bets on the layoff. Terrible bet after 100 days. less than 5% wins and a -78% roi.
This guyhowever Broussard...has only raced 4 horse on >100 day...1 won..very similar to this type of horse with similar work pattern.....paid 25.00

sorry

#2 because George picked him
alt #7 eenie-meenie-miney-mo!

:)
good luck.
if the odds are right..
2,7,4/2,4,7,6,11 ext
2,7,4/2,7,4,6/1,2,4,6,7,11 tri


Glen....I know you have bigger data than I. I am showing a pos roi on the 7 in this race.
98-14-1.30

[Glen]

Hurrikane,

Checked #7 stats since 3/1/01. The little man is on fire
11/63
17.46%
1.76 ROI
$20.18 Avg Mutaul.

He hit a couple $30 winners and a $50 plus

[Glen]

Tomcat Special

Exacta
7 4
1 9 10 11

Trr
7 4
7 4
1 9 10 11

$16

[hurrikane]

shoot...missed the trip.
nice pic george...Guess this guy goes on the 'can teach to leak' list. ;)

broke my maiden..now I have to keep the friggin roi...bummer...0 was so easy.

[Glen]

!~@#$%^&*()!@#$%^&*()_???!!!

Stupid Jock/RS dB...
:eek:

Back to the salt mines.

Congrads to those who selected #2.

[George]

Yeah Glen, those stupid esoteric db's will screw up the exacta everytime. I missed it too. Played 2/1,4,7 based on jky/rs underneath. Did use a "little" hammer on win pool after Hurrikanes trainer analysis indicated Broussard had a similar pattern in past. Incidentally, somebody used a big hammer in last 2 minutes. Was watching pool closely and there was 5k bet on #2 in last 2 minutes.

*****added at 5:40 pm ******
A note for any younger players is that 15-20 years ago the #2 would of been from 8-1 to 20-1
odds due to the recency myth. All pro players would have dismissed the horse. Trainers knew
that and even then loved to pop one first back. Modern players ignore recency so trainers
have lost a little of their reliable side money.
**************************************


Hurrikane, since you broke maiden and got the exacta why dont you pick next race. Sure Mike
and MtKen dont mind since they already have picked at least once.