MVM
3rd May 2006, 07:45.14 PM
My title may be overstating what I am actually stating in this thread, but what the heck.
There are a lot of people on this board who are aspiring to be professional horseplayers, turn a profit, etc. Whether or not a particular individual is actually capable of doing this is a very relevant question, and a difficult one to answer.
IMO, this month's HTR newsletter has provided a litmus test for this capability.
STOP, do not pass go, don't try to refine your betting strategy and quit that research that you call data mining. Turn off HTR, print out the May06 newsletter, read it, and then return to page 4.
Read the 4th paragraph (it begins with the words "One question"). Read it again. Read it a few dozen more times. Now, wrap your brain around it, and try to understand WHY it is true. Try your hardest to write at least a semi-concise explanation of why this happens, rather than using vague indefinite terms like "Not every 8-1 shot is actually an 8-1 shot".
It is extremely difficult, and if nothing else you will gain an appreciation of the challenge facing Ken when he opted to provide what he termed a "capsule" answer.
I don't mean to sound harsh, or too much like David Carradine, but the capacity to grasp the basic concept that underlies the illogical results on page 3 of this month's newsletter is probably the closest thing handicappers have to "snatching the pebble from my hand".
I would have to make the prospect of any handicapper lacking this capacity turning a long-term profit a million to one shot
There are a lot of people on this board who are aspiring to be professional horseplayers, turn a profit, etc. Whether or not a particular individual is actually capable of doing this is a very relevant question, and a difficult one to answer.
IMO, this month's HTR newsletter has provided a litmus test for this capability.
STOP, do not pass go, don't try to refine your betting strategy and quit that research that you call data mining. Turn off HTR, print out the May06 newsletter, read it, and then return to page 4.
Read the 4th paragraph (it begins with the words "One question"). Read it again. Read it a few dozen more times. Now, wrap your brain around it, and try to understand WHY it is true. Try your hardest to write at least a semi-concise explanation of why this happens, rather than using vague indefinite terms like "Not every 8-1 shot is actually an 8-1 shot".
It is extremely difficult, and if nothing else you will gain an appreciation of the challenge facing Ken when he opted to provide what he termed a "capsule" answer.
I don't mean to sound harsh, or too much like David Carradine, but the capacity to grasp the basic concept that underlies the illogical results on page 3 of this month's newsletter is probably the closest thing handicappers have to "snatching the pebble from my hand".
I would have to make the prospect of any handicapper lacking this capacity turning a long-term profit a million to one shot