Ediff 5/2

[George]

Hard day yesterday but as Glen pointed out could of been worse. Carl ran this play on 38000 races and found that long-term it is breakeven. Gonna post it through 100 races just for fun. Play can be improved by wagering only longer odds and trainers with impact rating below 4. Long term roi is also much better on dirt routes than sprints.

1BM #4
8CD #1
4CT #4
7GS #9
1PEN #1A
3PEN #2
4PEN #5
5PEN #5
4PIM #6
5PIM #3
4SUF #7
7SUF #6
6TDN #7

[MtKen]

Here are some variations on the ESD theme---had a $21 MNR horse y'day. Right now MNR might win a poll as favorite HTR user track!

Take 2/1 + unless * by horse.....then must go long---7/1 +

BM...1....#4* Underlay @ 4/1
CT....6....#10 $12.40 win
CT....7....#6* $12 underlay win
CT....10...#2 $3.40 UL win
EVD..7....#7 UL loser @ 4/5
EVD..8....#2 $8.20 win
GS....3....#5* 1/1 UL loser
GS....6....#4* 28/1 out
LS....1....#8 scr
LS....5....#3 2/1 loser
LS....7....#6* 3/1 UL loser
SUF..6....#4* 4/1 UL 2nd
WO..8....#2* SCR

4 horses made or beat my line & 2 won...$20.60....$12.60 profit...2.57 ROI
I should've just played these.....

[George]

Happy days are here again. Amazing what a couple winners do for attitude.

1BM #4
8CD #1
4CT #4 $4.00
7GS #9
1PEN #1A $3.60
3PEN #2 $8.00
4PEN #5 $3.40
5PEN #5
4PIM #6 $19.40
5PIM #3 $30.20
4SUF #7
7SUF #6
6TDN #7

6/13
46%
Bet $26
Won $68.60
Profit $42.60
Roi 163%

3 Day Totals
12/47
25.5%
Bet $94
Won $134.80
Profit $40.80
Roi 43.4%

[MtKen]

Congrats George, been an OK day for me, not quite back-to-back homers like you @ Pim.
I didn't realize Pimlico was 'in play'.

Cool & the Indians won again for me & MD.

MtKen

[Carl]

Great day George, congrats.

Inspiring even!

later,
Carl

[George]

Carl & MtKen, thanks got lucky. Carl, am convinced by your runs on larger data that long term this play will peter out to small profit or loss. Also surprised by your findings on dirt routes using it. My little 8500 race db indicated a bright future on routes.

Glen once quoted an article stating the average "play" used by a horseplayer lasts 2 days. Three days is probably enough for this one. Was kinda neat for a 2 factor query.

[Glen]

Great scores George. Keep it up!!!