canuck
25th August 2001, 08:18.41 PM
For the past 2 weeks I have been having success with a very simple method that I doubt can be run through a db--but if it can feel free to try it
On the impact screen I write down the horse with the top trainer
I then go the screen 3 in the main prog and circle any horse with a $ or +
Next step is screen 8 where the jock must have a significant increase in his win % with todays trainer versus his actual win %-I put a check mark beside the circle
If the horse has a circle and a check mark-he is considered for the win at min odds of 5-2 and max odds 5-1
If he is 6-1 or greater-I put him underneath in the ex with any horse 5-1 or less to a max of 3(4 or more I pass the race)
There are several reasons I like this method-
1)You are always betting the top trainer in the race(according to Impact)
2)In conjunction with having the top trainer in the race-there are positive factors (velocity,ev1,lv1,loves the track,loves the distance etc etc)
3)Betting within the odds "wheelhouse" insures an acceptable mutuel(around $9)-the 2 weeks I have been playing with it these mules are coming in around 30%(at acceptable odss of between 5-2 and 5-1)
A caveat-restrict play to the larger circuits where the volatility of post time odds is far less rampant than at the B tracks(Philly Pen CT and Mnr come to mind}
A drawback is the lack of action--you may on paper have a dozen plays if you download 6 tracks but because of odds restrictions only have a handful--action junkies need not apply-LOL
On the impact screen I write down the horse with the top trainer
I then go the screen 3 in the main prog and circle any horse with a $ or +
Next step is screen 8 where the jock must have a significant increase in his win % with todays trainer versus his actual win %-I put a check mark beside the circle
If the horse has a circle and a check mark-he is considered for the win at min odds of 5-2 and max odds 5-1
If he is 6-1 or greater-I put him underneath in the ex with any horse 5-1 or less to a max of 3(4 or more I pass the race)
There are several reasons I like this method-
1)You are always betting the top trainer in the race(according to Impact)
2)In conjunction with having the top trainer in the race-there are positive factors (velocity,ev1,lv1,loves the track,loves the distance etc etc)
3)Betting within the odds "wheelhouse" insures an acceptable mutuel(around $9)-the 2 weeks I have been playing with it these mules are coming in around 30%(at acceptable odss of between 5-2 and 5-1)
A caveat-restrict play to the larger circuits where the volatility of post time odds is far less rampant than at the B tracks(Philly Pen CT and Mnr come to mind}
A drawback is the lack of action--you may on paper have a dozen plays if you download 6 tracks but because of odds restrictions only have a handful--action junkies need not apply-LOL