Ken Massa
15th August 2001, 12:24.52 AM
The "MPH" thread was getting a bit long, so I'll answer the questions here. Then off to Vegas for the Orleans tournament until Tuesday. I you have a tech or software question, Rick can answer almost everything while I'm gone.
"incomparable results...." Where do I begin. Maybe with tournaments. Our little group has taken down more money at tournaments in the last year than BRIS can brag about with 10,000 members. The key point here is that they have mega times as many subscribers and yet the HTR gang won more money, with almost all of them would pointing to the velocity numbers as their key longshot success component. But that is just the sugar coating for years of excellent results for users all over the country that have researched and tested and reported on their success. And it is not 'hot air' because nothing that I or anyone else can write about on here is un-verifiable by everyone else. Perhaps the most 'incomparable' part of HTR is that we will never be able to distort, hype and falsify for long because too many smart users can test it and report their findings uncensored on this board. There are plenty of lousy results with HTR material, ROI of -48% etc, but at least we can prove it and talk about it openly, and learn one more thing that doesn't work.
The K**'s are a combination of contender selector and probability in one fast rating. Any horse that receives a "*" is a bonafide contender, and each star can be multiplied by 10% for an approximate expected win rate. Thus -
* = 10% chance of winning -----> profit odds = 11/1 or more
** = 20% chance of winning ---------> profit odds = 6/1 or more
*** = 30% chance -----------> profit odds = 7/2 or more
**** = 40% chance ------------> profit odds = 5/2 or more
***** = 50% horses ----------> profit odds = 7/5 or more
I have had a few reports of 5 star horses going off at 2/1 or higher in the past year, they are rare at that price, but an excellent bet even at 8/5 if you find one. Most contenders fall beneath the fair odds except those at the single * level.
Best place to start with HTR if new? Read William Quirin's Computer Discoveries in Thoroughbred Handicapping, Modern Pace Handicapping by Tom Brohamer, and Figure Handicapping by James Quinn, then read this board and the past newsletters as much as possible. Then take another look at the program and everything will be familar! The HTR material would seem daunting initially, but that is primarily due to necessary abbreviations and symbolism that is unfamilar at first glance. Most aspects are well documented somewhere and the best parts are talked about continually on here.
"incomparable results...." Where do I begin. Maybe with tournaments. Our little group has taken down more money at tournaments in the last year than BRIS can brag about with 10,000 members. The key point here is that they have mega times as many subscribers and yet the HTR gang won more money, with almost all of them would pointing to the velocity numbers as their key longshot success component. But that is just the sugar coating for years of excellent results for users all over the country that have researched and tested and reported on their success. And it is not 'hot air' because nothing that I or anyone else can write about on here is un-verifiable by everyone else. Perhaps the most 'incomparable' part of HTR is that we will never be able to distort, hype and falsify for long because too many smart users can test it and report their findings uncensored on this board. There are plenty of lousy results with HTR material, ROI of -48% etc, but at least we can prove it and talk about it openly, and learn one more thing that doesn't work.
The K**'s are a combination of contender selector and probability in one fast rating. Any horse that receives a "*" is a bonafide contender, and each star can be multiplied by 10% for an approximate expected win rate. Thus -
* = 10% chance of winning -----> profit odds = 11/1 or more
** = 20% chance of winning ---------> profit odds = 6/1 or more
*** = 30% chance -----------> profit odds = 7/2 or more
**** = 40% chance ------------> profit odds = 5/2 or more
***** = 50% horses ----------> profit odds = 7/5 or more
I have had a few reports of 5 star horses going off at 2/1 or higher in the past year, they are rare at that price, but an excellent bet even at 8/5 if you find one. Most contenders fall beneath the fair odds except those at the single * level.
Best place to start with HTR if new? Read William Quirin's Computer Discoveries in Thoroughbred Handicapping, Modern Pace Handicapping by Tom Brohamer, and Figure Handicapping by James Quinn, then read this board and the past newsletters as much as possible. Then take another look at the program and everything will be familar! The HTR material would seem daunting initially, but that is primarily due to necessary abbreviations and symbolism that is unfamilar at first glance. Most aspects are well documented somewhere and the best parts are talked about continually on here.