Sar....8/3

[hurrikane]

Well, Glen had a great day...Mike..you just missed a nice pick 3...
since Glen had a great day I figure I will do exactly opposite of what he is doing hoping for regression to the mean..:D

So, $5 bets....if one wins ..add one unit.in the next race.or a 10$ bet..if he wins add anouther unit..$15 to win in the next race...if he loses back to the $5.00 bet...until the money runs out anyway.

1r #4...$5w...out
2r #6...$5w...3rd
3r #2...$5w...out so far it's looking like a typical day at SAR for me.
4r #7....5w...18.00..whoa baby. got 1 in a row..that is 14-1 over 3 days..I'm back!!:D
5r #5...$10w..2nd...streak is over (bal 88.00)
6r #5(scratched)play #3...$5w..out
7r #5..$5w...13.50...oh yeah..got the chaulk running now!!(bal 91.50)
8r #3...$10w...15.00...chalk chalk chalk...(bal 96.50)
9r #6..$15w...3rd. bal for the day 81.50..well..the loses are getting smaller.

Damn good thing this isn't real bucks...I"d be crying in my beer.

ROI...sucks:(

[Glen]

Hurrikane,

Welcome to the dark side...Reckless Progressive Wagering...:p

[George]

Glen......been studying the progression on paper and have concluded I would be happy to "book" your bets. Trying to get my 800 number set up now :)


Bets for today
Saratoga
Race 1
$25 win # 4
$20 win # 6 2ND
$5 win # 5

Race 2
$25 win # 4 WON $47.50
$18 win # 6
$7 win # 3

$100 bet
$47.50 return
$52.50 loss

Saratoga thru 8/3
$600 bet
$855.90 won
$255.90 net
$1.43 roi

[Glen]

Lol George...Well since most people know my stance on gambling (gambling is bad), I don't think that will be necessary. This is all fun and games...No real money exchanged between parties<g>.

[Glen]

$4 Progression, starting at $8
1sar5...bet 8...out
2sar4...bet 12..win 22.8
3sar5...bet 4...3rd
4sar11..bet 8...out
5sar1...bet 12..win 43.80
6sar1...bet 4...win 12.00
7sar5...bet 4...win 10.80
8sar3...bet 4...win 6.00
9sar3...bet 4...out


Day:
Bet $60
Won $96.20

[HarryH]

Been doin' the W**k thang!! Just popped in for one quick shot
8/03 SAR Race 9 $2 Tri Box 2 - 5 - 9
Harry H

[MikeDee]

R1 $1 tri ($36)
4-5-6
4-5-6-2-8
1-7-3

R5 $1 tri bx ($36)

5-1-9
5-1-8
5-1-6
5-1-7
5-1-4
5-1-3
(both 2 and 2b scratched so change to 5-1-8)

R7 $4 w #2
r7 $1 tri ($24)
2-5-10
2-5-10
1-3-4-9

wagered $100

[George]

Mike...think your race 5 bet cost only $36 not $54.

Gonna take my remaining $47.50 to the 5th.
Race 5
$20 win # 5 2nd
$14 win # 1 won $7.30 = $51.10
$10 win # 9

Bet $44
Won $51.10
Net $7.10

[MikeDee]

thanks George 3h tri box is 6 not 9 isn't it found money...have to put it to work!

[hurrikane]

nice triple mike...should help the ROI..eh

[George]

Nice $1 tri MIKE !! Paid $120.25.

Race 5
Won $51.10
Bet $44
Net $7.10

Bet today $144
Won today $98.60
Net today -$45.40

Saratoga thru 8/3
$644 bet
$907 won
$263 net
$1.41 roi

[MikeDee]

got lucky they scratched the 2 and 2b so I got the 8 in.....otherwise in the dumper. I see you rolled your winner over in the 5th as well George, nice going.

[MikeDee]

Hey Hurrikane at least you got the bal number heading in the right direction. I hit that tri in the 7th ($125), better take a rest.


I see Jim Cramer has joined the board, welcome Jim. I guess we'll have to stop bad mouthing the Cramer speed figs.:D

[George]

You are on a roll now Mike. Said you would go right by us with a couple tri's. Nice work.

Big fan of those awful Cramer numbers. Welcome Jim.

BTW, if Harry H hits his 2-5-9 tri in the ninth it will pay as of now $19845. Think we would have to concede if that happens :)

[hurrikane]

Way to go Mike...hope you're playing with real money too!

George had a nice parlay of plays today..

And Mr progressive ends up ahead.

One last chance to win the elusive dime. Maybe next week I'll get to do some real playing..maybe even get to bet.

Jim...welcome aboard...and about those numbers...

[George]

Hurrikane.......Thanks for the mention but I actually had a bad day due to chalk. Last two days have been too busy to post and had three nice longshots. Today....nada !

Meanwhile you are right, Mr. Progressive keeps sailing along. My paper tests keep showing me really bad losing streaks even with high percentage plays. When one goes on one of those streaks it will quickly wipe out all the prior gains plus some!! That is based on $2 progressions, bigger ones would hurt worse.

I can see that if tracks selected are picked carefully the progression might never hit the big losing run. I would hate to test that theory with my money. Wish Glen the best of luck on it.
Besides he can afford it after a few P4'S. :)

[Glen]

George, Have you tried the progession numbers on lower % higher mutual plays...Maybe something around 30% to 35%? IMHO, the 50% will average about $4 or $5 avg mutual therefore not taking full advantage of the progession larger bet....
ie...
$20 to win on $4 winner =$40
vs
$20 to win on $8 winner =$80

[George]

You are right Glen. Have been testing in 42-60% range and avg mutuel does hurt the progression. Did one on a 33% play and it returned much better. Still had several streaks of 10 in a row out and one of 16 out but the higher returns made a better net. Am also testing across "all" tracks which is not what a smart player would do. Guarantee doing the progression at ELP or FE would lead to being on welfare shortly.

As the old cop on Hill Street used to say "be careful out there" !!!!