Need SOME STATS USING IMPACT.......

[The Wizard]

Hi Guys,

wanted to know if you guys could run a database test for me using this scenerio..........using impact the horse must be #1 in total points and the trainer must be #1.........hit a few decent ones at penn using that scenerio........was wondering how it does overall.............Thanks again.............

Example
horse tot. pts trn. pts
1 288 396
2 277 315
3 255 299
4 244 254

[Glen]

Looks good at Pen
Dirt
Tot 1
TRN 1
42/93
45.16%
-10.22 ROI
$3.98 Avg Mutual


On all tracks you are looking at about 34% to 35% winners.

Bonus Query for Pen
Dirt
TRN 1
nESD>=5
20/50
40%
1.27 ROI
$6.35 ROI

[Carl]

Yeah, looks O.K. to me too Wizard. To have only a 10-12% loss on a broad two factor query is in my opinion good.

First all races all tracks:

ALL_MSA Misc Query ROI Report
trn1, tot1.
Total Bets 7747
Total Amount Bet 15494.00
Wins 2602
Pct. 33.59%
Amount Won 13643.60
Profit/Loss -1850.40
Pct Profit Loss -11.94%
Avg. Payout 5.24

Then, bonus query, all rTOT and rTRN 1's, MLO >=4.5. Somewhat surprisingly to me, this one don't play any better. Probably because these horses have serious "form flaws" to be rated 4.5 or more MLO by the morning line guy.

ALL_MSA Misc Query ROI Report
trn1, tot1, MLO >=4.5
Total Bets 1507
Total Amount Bet 3014.00
Wins 303
Pct. 20.11%
Amount Won 2626.80
Profit/Loss -387.20
Pct Profit Loss -12.85%
Avg. Payout 8.67

later,
Carl

[The Wizard]

Glenn and Carl,

Thanks so much for your insight with the numbers..........had a good few days at penn and was wondering if it was just luck or does this have some merit to it..........Have been spending alot of time using the impact screen lately. ive been looking for trainers with high trainer rating 350 or above and there horses are being overlooked by the public............Thanks again for your help........:p :cool: